Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders
30-27Final
Polymarket: play-by-play or color 
Polymarket
PolymarketWords
15 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safety | 105/10798% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=11 | 94% n=18 | 95%n=107 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Fumble / Fumbles | 44/5088% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=8 | – | 84%n=50 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Trade / Traded | 68/8976% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes no yes | 100% n=8 | 61% n=18 | 77%n=89 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Inch / Inches | 36/4875% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 50% n=8 | – | 73%n=48 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Wild | 55/7871% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes | 60% n=10 | 67% n=12 | 72%n=78 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Offside / Offsides | 9/1369% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes no yes | – | – | 64%n=13 from settlement history | No | – |
| Wind / Windy | 43/7161% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no no no yes no yes | 80% n=5 | 50% n=16 | 54%n=71 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Turf | 54/10352% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes yes no no yes no | 18% n=11 | 50% n=18 | 40%n=103 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| No Good | 32/6748% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes no no no no yes | – | 40% n=15 | 32%n=67 from settlement history | No | – |
| What a Catch | 32/9932% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes no yes no no | 22% n=9 | 61% n=18 | 31%n=99 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Roughing The Passer | 13/10512% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no no no yes yes | 18% n=11 | 28% n=18 | 24%n=105 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Hail Mary | 8/4717% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no no no yes | 0% n=8 | – | 20%n=47 from settlement history | No | – |
| Late Hit | 12/10711% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no yes no no no no | 18% n=11 | 6% n=18 | 20%n=107 from settlement history | No | – |
| Referee 5+ times | 1/138% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | – | – | 15%n=13 from settlement history | No | – |
| One Handed | 20/10719% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 18% n=11 | 22% n=18 | 13%n=107 from settlement history | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=nfl%3A2026-10-04%3Agame-kc-lv · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP