Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers
26-7Final
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: play-by-play or color 
Kalshi
KalshiWords
25 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safety | 30/3197% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=5 | – | 92%n=31 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Picked | 20/20100% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | – | – | 91%n=20 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Speed | 24/2596% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes | – | – | 90%n=25 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Tie / Ties / Tied | 25/2889% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 80% n=5 | – | 87%n=28 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Fumble / Fumbles / Fumbled | 28/3385% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes | 80% n=5 | – | 78%n=33 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Superbowl / Super Bowl | 16/1984% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes no yes yes | – | – | 77%n=19 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Trade / Traded | 10/1283% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no yes yes yes yes yes | – | – | 74%n=12 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Inch / Inches | 24/3373% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes no no yes yes | 100% n=5 | – | 68%n=33 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Veteran | 16/2273% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes yes no yes no yes yes | – | – | 67%n=22 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Turkey | 2/2100% | 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes | – | – | 64%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Facemask / Face Mask | 22/3367% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no no no yes yes yes | 80% n=5 | – | 62%n=33 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Wild | 20/3361% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes | 60% n=5 | – | 58%n=33 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Big Ben / Roethlisberger | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Turf | 16/3053% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 40% n=5 | – | 52%n=30 from settlement history | No | – |
| Heinz | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Overtime | 14/3342% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes yes no no no yes | 60% n=5 | – | 40%n=33 from settlement history | No | – |
| Stuffed | 9/2438% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no no no yes no yes | – | – | 38%n=24 from settlement history | No | – |
| Pylon | 8/3324% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no no no yes yes no | 40% n=5 | – | 27%n=33 from settlement history | No | – |
| Intentional Grounding | 6/2722% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no yes yes no no no no | – | – | 25%n=27 from settlement history | No | – |
| Hail Mary | 6/3119% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no no no no no no | 40% n=5 | – | 23%n=31 from settlement history | No | – |
| What a Catch | 4/2516% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no yes no yes | – | – | 20%n=25 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| One Handed | 5/3315% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no yes no no | 20% n=5 | – | 19%n=33 from settlement history | No | – |
| Late Hit | 4/3212% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no yes | 20% n=5 | – | 16%n=32 from settlement history | No | – |
| Concussion Protocol | 2/277% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no no no no | – | – | 11%n=27 from settlement history | No | – |
| Roughing the Passer | 2/336% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no yes no no no | 0% n=5 | – | 10%n=33 from settlement history | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=nfl%3A2025-11-30%3Agame-buf-pit · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP