Chicago Bears at Washington Commanders
25-24Final
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: named broadcast crew 
Kalshi Polymarket: play-by-play or color 
Polymarket
Kalshi Polymarket: play-by-play or color PolymarketWords
36 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safety | 9/1090% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes | – | – | 75%n=10 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Fumble | 8/1080% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes no yes | – | – | 71%n=10 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Fumble 3+ times | 4/580% | 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no | – | – | 64%n=5 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Challenge | 2/2100% | 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes | – | – | 63%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Comeback | 2/2100% | 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes | – | – | 63%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| First down 30+ times | 2/2100% | 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes | – | – | 63%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Rookie 3+ times | 2/2100% | 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes | – | – | 63%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Sack 3+ times | 2/2100% | 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes | – | – | 63%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Safety 4+ times | 2/2100% | 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes | – | – | 63%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Tie | 4/580% | 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes | – | – | 62%n=5 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Super Bowl | 3/475% | 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes | – | – | 62%n=4 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Face Mask / Facemask | 7/1070% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes no no | – | – | 58%n=10 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Inch / Inches | 7/1070% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes no no | – | – | 58%n=10 from settlement history | No | – |
| Wild | 6/1060% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no yes no yes no yes | – | – | 55%n=10 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Overtime | 6/1060% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no no no no | – | – | 50%n=10 from settlement history | No | – |
| Knee 5+ times | 2/450% | 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no | – | – | 46%n=4 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Penalty / Flag 30+ times | 2/450% | 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no | – | – | 46%n=4 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Two minute warning 4+ times | 1/250% | 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes | – | – | 44%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Turf | 3/743% | 3/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes no no | – | – | 41%n=7 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Tush push | 2/540% | 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no | – | – | 40%n=5 from settlement history | No | – |
| USC / Southern California | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Pylon | 3/1030% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no yes no no no no | – | – | 34%n=10 from settlement history | No | – |
| Late Hit | 2/922% | 2/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no yes no no | – | – | 29%n=9 from settlement history | No | – |
| Onside Kick | 2/922% | 2/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no no yes | – | – | 26%n=9 from settlement history | No | – |
| Pick Six | 6/967% | 6/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no no no | – | – | 26%n=9 from settlement history | No | – |
| Scoop and score | 0/20% | 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no | – | – | 26%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Juggle | 0/30% | 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no | – | – | 22%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Turnover on downs | 0/30% | 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no | – | – | 22%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Punt 15+ times | 0/40% | 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no | – | – | 19%n=4 from settlement history | No | – |
| Hail Mary | 1/1010% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no no no no | – | – | 18%n=10 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Concussion Protocol | 0/40% | 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no | – | – | 17%n=4 from settlement history | No | – |
| Intentional Grounding | 0/40% | 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no | – | – | 17%n=4 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Taunting | 0/70% | 0/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no | – | – | 13%n=7 from settlement history | No | – |
| Miracle | 0/70% | 0/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no | – | – | 10%n=7 from settlement history | No | – |
| One Handed | 0/100% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | – | – | 9%n=10 from settlement history | No | – |
| Roughing the Passer | 0/100% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | – | – | 9%n=10 from settlement history | Yes | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=nfl%3A2025-10-13%3Agame-chi-wsh · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP