New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
23-20Final
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: named broadcast crew 
Kalshi Polymarket: play-by-play or color 
Polymarket
Kalshi Polymarket: play-by-play or color PolymarketWords
33 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Face Mask / Facemask | 5/5100% | 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes | – | – | 73%n=5 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Pick Six / Picked | 4/4100% | 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes | – | – | 73%n=4 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Inch | 5/5100% | 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes | – | – | 73%n=5 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Safety | 5/5100% | 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes | – | – | 73%n=5 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Overtime | 5/5100% | 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes | – | – | 73%n=5 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Fumble | 4/580% | 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes | – | – | 68%n=5 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Facemask | 5/5100% | 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes | – | – | 63%n=5 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Tie | 2/2100% | 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes | – | – | 62%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Fumble 3+ times | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Tush Push | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Wild | 3/560% | 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no | – | – | 54%n=5 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Pylon | 2/540% | 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no | – | – | 46%n=5 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Concussion | 1/250% | 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no | – | – | 44%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Mahomes | 1/250% | 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes | – | – | 44%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Turf | 1/250% | 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no | – | – | 44%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Penalty / Flag 30+ times | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Knee 5+ times | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Punt 15+ times | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Scramble | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Spike | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Taunt / Taunting | 0/30% | 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no | – | – | 42%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Snow | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Trump | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | 0/20% | 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no | – | – | 33%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Down the middle | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Hail Mary | 1/520% | 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no | – | – | 32%n=5 from settlement history | No | – |
| Onside Kick | 1/520% | 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no | – | – | 29%n=5 from settlement history | No | – |
| Miracle | 0/20% | 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no | – | – | 26%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Taunting | 0/30% | 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no | – | – | 26%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Tom Brady | 0/30% | 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no | – | – | 22%n=3 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Late Hit | 0/40% | 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no | – | – | 22%n=4 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| One Handed | 0/50% | 0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no | – | – | 19%n=5 from settlement history | No | – |
| Roughing the Passer | 0/50% | 0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no | – | – | 19%n=5 from settlement history | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=nfl%3A2025-10-05%3Agame-ne-buf · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP