Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars
28-31Final
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: named broadcast crew 
Kalshi Polymarket: play-by-play or color 
Polymarket
Kalshi Polymarket: play-by-play or color PolymarketWords
33 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safety | 6/6100% | 6/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes | – | – | 75%n=6 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Overtime | 6/6100% | 6/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes | – | – | 75%n=6 from settlement history | No | – |
| Face Mask / Facemask | 6/6100% | 6/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes | – | – | 73%n=6 from settlement history | No | – |
| Inch / Inches | 6/6100% | 6/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes | – | – | 73%n=6 from settlement history | No | – |
| Facemask | 6/6100% | 6/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes | – | – | 69%n=6 from settlement history | No | – |
| Fumble | 5/683% | 5/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes | – | – | 68%n=6 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Fumble 3+ times | 2/2100% | 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes | – | – | 64%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Penalty / Flag 30+ times | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Knee 5+ times | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Scramble | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Wild | 4/667% | 4/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no yes | – | – | 54%n=6 from settlement history | No | – |
| Pylon | 3/650% | 3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no yes | – | – | 46%n=6 from settlement history | No | – |
| Tush Push | 1/250% | 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no | – | – | 45%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Turf | 2/367% | 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes | – | – | 44%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Boo | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Pick Six | 5/5100% | 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes | – | – | 41%n=5 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Rashee Rice | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Concussion | 1/333% | 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no | – | – | 38%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Taylor Swift | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Punt 15+ times | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Spike | 1/250% | 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no | – | – | 34%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Taunt / Taunting | 0/40% | 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no | – | – | 34%n=4 from settlement history | No | – |
| Hail Mary | 1/617% | 1/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no | – | – | 32%n=6 from settlement history | No | – |
| Concussion Protocol | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Intentional Grounding | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Onside Kick | 1/617% | 1/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no | – | – | 29%n=6 from settlement history | No | – |
| Trump | 0/20% | 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no | – | – | 29%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | 0/30% | 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no | – | – | 27%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Miracle | 0/30% | 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no | – | – | 26%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Taunting | 0/40% | 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no | – | – | 26%n=4 from settlement history | No | – |
| Late Hit | 1/520% | 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes | – | – | 22%n=5 from settlement history | No | – |
| One Handed | 0/60% | 0/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no | – | – | 19%n=6 from settlement history | No | – |
| Roughing the Passer | 0/60% | 0/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no | – | – | 19%n=6 from settlement history | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=nfl%3A2025-10-06%3Agame-kc-jax · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP