Detroit Lions at Kansas City Chiefs
17-30Final
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: named broadcast crew 
Kalshi Polymarket: play-by-play or color 
Polymarket
Kalshi Polymarket: play-by-play or color PolymarketWords
38 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fumble 3+ times | 4/4100% | 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes | – | – | 73%n=4 from settlement history | No | – |
| Safety | 8/989% | 8/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no | – | – | 72%n=9 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Fumble | 7/978% | 7/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes no | – | – | 69%n=9 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Face Mask / Facemask | 7/978% | 7/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes no | – | – | 63%n=9 from settlement history | No | – |
| Inch | 7/978% | 7/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes no | – | – | 63%n=9 from settlement history | No | – |
| Tie | 3/475% | 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no | – | – | 57%n=4 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Super Bowl | 2/367% | 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no | – | – | 55%n=3 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Overtime | 6/967% | 6/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no no no | – | – | 54%n=9 from settlement history | No | – |
| Challenge | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Comeback | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| First down 30+ times | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Rookie 3+ times | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Sack 3+ times | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Safety 4+ times | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Knee 5+ times | 2/367% | 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes | – | – | 53%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Penalty / Flag 30+ times | 2/367% | 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no | – | – | 52%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Wild | 5/956% | 5/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no yes no yes no | – | – | 51%n=9 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Tush push | 2/450% | 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes | – | – | 46%n=4 from settlement history | No | – |
| Turf | 3/650% | 3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes no | – | – | 45%n=6 from settlement history | No | – |
| Pylon | 3/933% | 3/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no yes no no no | – | – | 37%n=9 from settlement history | No | – |
| Superbowl | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Late Hit | 2/825% | 2/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no yes no | – | – | 32%n=8 from settlement history | No | – |
| Scoop and score | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Two minute warning 4+ times | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Pick Six | 6/875% | 6/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no no | – | – | 30%n=8 from settlement history | No | – |
| Showgirl | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Juggle | 0/20% | 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no | – | – | 26%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Turnover on downs | 0/20% | 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no | – | – | 26%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Rashee Rice | 0/20% | 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no | – | – | 24%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Punt 15+ times | 0/30% | 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no | – | – | 22%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Taylor Swift | 0/30% | 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no | – | – | 21%n=3 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Intentional Grounding | 0/30% | 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no | – | – | 20%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Hail Mary | 1/911% | 1/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no no no | – | – | 20%n=9 from settlement history | No | – |
| Onside Kick | 1/812% | 1/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no no | – | – | 18%n=8 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Taunting | 0/60% | 0/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no | – | – | 15%n=6 from settlement history | No | – |
| Miracle | 0/60% | 0/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no | – | – | 11%n=6 from settlement history | No | – |
| One Handed | 0/90% | 0/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no | – | – | 10%n=9 from settlement history | No | – |
| Roughing the Passer | 0/90% | 0/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no | – | – | 10%n=9 from settlement history | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=nfl%3A2025-10-12%3Agame-det-kc · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP