What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Woman / Women” next time?

51%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Woman / Women”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Woman / Women” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 27, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Woman / Women” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 7, 2026.

Of the last 2 speeches we have transcripts for (Apr 12, 2026 – Jun 4, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 27, 2026, 02:00 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Woman / Women

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 2 speeches: said in 0 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Council Member Jennifer GutiérrezotherMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

…think that we should be surprised that they're being led by two women. So, I just want to clap it up because most of our…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…to head out to 2-K and we headed outside, there was a woman who stopped the governor and congratulated her on a great performance. So,…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Speaker Menin Cut Red Tape to Expedite Payments for Up to 800 Nonprofits · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…And Bushwick Starr can spend less time on agency self-registration and more acting and writing with the men and women of Palmetto Garden Senior Club.