What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Support” next time?

48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Support”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Support” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Support” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 20, 2026.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 6.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Last said: Feb 18, 2026
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 06:42 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Support

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Re-Opens Edenwald’s Community, Senior and Child Care Centers · Oct 23, 2026In transcript

…also want to commend my friend, Speaker Carl Heastie, for his unwavering support of this project, even when I was an assembly member, before I…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

…those who are struggling; the purpose of providing them the love and support they need; the purpose of helping so many of our fellow New…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Hochul Bring 2‑K to All of the Bronx and Staten Island, Adding 10,000 Seats Across Every Borough · Oct 19, 2026In transcript

…who are the bedrock of this initiative and who deserve a city government that delivers the streamlined operations, improved communication and increased support they need.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…of what is possible. A city that helped to provide them the support, the tools and the space they needed to push the boundaries of…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Speaker Menin Cut Red Tape to Expedite Payments for Up to 800 Nonprofits · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…the beating heart of our city. Today we are standing together to support our nonprofit partners in the work of building a better, more livable,…