What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “People 5+ times” next time?

33%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “People” 5+ times?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “People 5+ times” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 27, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “People” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 20, 2026.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 27, 2026, 03:01 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

People 5+ times

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 0/1 (0%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Re-Opens Edenwald’s Community, Senior and Child Care Centers · Oct 23, 2026In transcript

…a focus. And we know that without his deep dedication to the people of the Bronx, we would not be celebrating today. So truly, Carl,…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

…and target violence at its source. One led by community members themselves. People like those here in this room; our dedicated CMS partners who have…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Hochul Bring 2‑K to All of the Bronx and Staten Island, Adding 10,000 Seats Across Every Borough · Oct 19, 2026In transcript

…all of the legislators who are here, truly. What you're seeing are people who have been pushing and fighting for this kind of a vision…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…the wealthiest among us instead of extending them, too, to the working people who helped to make them possible. At City Hall, we believe that…

Police Commissioner Jessica S. TischotherMayor Mamdani Delivers Remarks at NYPD Memorial Wall With Commissioner Jessica S. Tisch · Oct 13, 2026In transcript

…moving about this place. All around us, New York is in motion. People are heading to work. Children are going to school. The city is…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.