What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Green / Greener” next time?

47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Green / Greener”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Green / Greener” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Green / Greener” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 22, 2026.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 16:53 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Green / Greener

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Hochul Bring 2‑K to All of the Bronx and Staten Island, Adding 10,000 Seats Across Every Borough · Oct 19, 2026In transcript

…five boroughs, we proudly boast 12,000 miles of sidewalks, 12,000 acres of green space in our parks, roughly 12,000 bodegas and more than 12,000 yellow…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…predict traffic patterns and ensure that our buses can run faster, and that will help us engineer the materials needed to build a greener future.