What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Delivery” next time?

46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Delivery”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Delivery” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Delivery” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 30, 2026.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 20:49 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Delivery

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

…mine reach out and ask me, "What do we think about the Delivery Workers Protection Act?" And I said, "How are you hearing about this?"…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…parents. It's hard to attack $131 million in back pay for 260,000 delivery workers. It's hard to attack more than 220,000 potholes being filled. It's…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Appears on Univision's ¡Despierta América! · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…City, we held them accountable for more than $131 million, delivering money that they had not paid or underpaid to more than 260,000 delivery workers.