What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Commissioner” next time?

48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Commissioner”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Commissioner” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Commissioner” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 20, 2026.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Last said: Feb 18, 2026
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 21:40 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Commissioner

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

…human services, Dr. Helen Arteaga. We have our Office of Community Safety commissioner, Dr. Ayesha Delany-Brumsey. We have the one and only public advocate, Jumaane…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…no plans to change that, whether it's with respect to the police commissioner as well as with respect to any other leaders, agencies and departments…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Delivers Remarks at NYPD Memorial Wall With Commissioner Jessica S. Tisch · Oct 13, 2026In transcript

Good morning, everyone. It is a solemn privilege to be here alongside Commissioner Tisch and NYPD leadership as we remember 42 members of the New…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Holds Press Conference on Ice Shooting in Marble Hill · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

With that, I am now going to turn it over to our Police Commissioner, Jessica Tisch.