What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Bronx” next time?

37%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Bronx”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Bronx” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Bronx” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 7, 2026.

Of the last 2 speeches we have transcripts for (Apr 12, 2026 – Jun 4, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 09:00 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Bronx

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 0/1 (0%)
Last 2 speeches: said in 2 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Re-Opens Edenwald’s Community, Senior and Child Care Centers · Oct 23, 2026In transcript

…It is a pleasure to be here at Edenwald Houses in the Bronx alongside so many friends, partners and residents as we mark the beginning…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

…injuries plummeting by 50 percent in East New York and shooting victimizations dropping 63 percent in the South Bronx after the introduction of CMS services.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Hochul Bring 2‑K to All of the Bronx and Staten Island, Adding 10,000 Seats Across Every Borough · Oct 19, 2026In transcript

…governor, Kathy Hochul; Comptroller Mark Levine; City Council Speaker Julie Menin; [and] Bronx Borough President Vanessa Gibson. We have our assembly members, state senators and…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…at 75 West 205th Street, between Paul and Goulden avenues in the Bronx, a 15-year-old scored a 91 on the biology regents. In case you're…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Speaker Menin Cut Red Tape to Expedite Payments for Up to 800 Nonprofits · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…focus on helping low-income New Yorkers access the housing resources they need. Bronx Giants can stop filling out lobbying certification forms and keep teaching football,…