What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Million / Billion 3+ times” next time?

48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Million / Billion” 3+ times?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Million / Billion 3+ times” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Million / Billion” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 20, 2026.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 3.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Last said: Feb 17, 2026
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 00:40 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Million / Billion 3+ times

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Re-Opens Edenwald’s Community, Senior and Child Care Centers · Oct 23, 2026In transcript

…I'm so proud to announce that, thanks to the tireless organizing of Edenwald's residents, the $783 million PACT conversion of this development is nearly complete.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

…today I am so proud to announce that we are investing $4.8 million to expand our crisis management system across three additional catchment areas that…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Hochul Bring 2‑K to All of the Bronx and Staten Island, Adding 10,000 Seats Across Every Borough · Oct 19, 2026In transcript

…governor of our state. And it is through her leadership that we delivered, on the eighth day of our administration, $1.2 billion toward universal childcare.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…that, in partnership with NYU, New York City will invest nearly $30 million to bring a state-of-the-art quantum fabrication facility to life right here at…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Delivers Remarks at NYPD Memorial Wall With Commissioner Jessica S. Tisch · Oct 13, 2026In transcript

…resonates in their homes and precincts, on the streets where they walked the beat and the lives of the 8.5 million New Yorkers they protected.