Will Wes Moore say “Iran / Iranian”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Wes Moore said “Iran / Iranian” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 9, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 3 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.

38%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Wes Moore

Iran / Iranian

Probability
38% · n=6
Settled
2/6 (33%)
Last 3 episodes
said in 1 of 2 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled no

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What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

2 counted; 9 by speakers the rule does not count.

Wes Mooreguest19:41In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Wes Mooreguest27:51In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Wes Moore say during Fox News Sunday? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press? · settled no

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What will Wes Moore say during Fox News Sunday? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during CBS Mornings? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during The Weeknight? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · settled no

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What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press? · settled no

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What will Wes Moore say during his NAN Fireside Chat? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–
Sep 22, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes2
Aug 2, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–
May 19, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–
May 10, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–
Apr 9, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Wes Moore say “Iran / Iranian”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Wes Moore said “Iran / Iranian” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 9, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 22, 2026.
What is the probability Wes Moore says “Iran / Iranian” next time?
38%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Wes Moore: ‘Iran / Iranian’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/wes-moore/words/iran-or-iranian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=wes-moore&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP