Will Wes Moore say “Ballroom / Pool”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Wes Moore did not say “Ballroom / Pool” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 3 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.

33%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=ballroom%20%2F%20pool

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Wes Moore

Ballroom / Pool

Probability
33% · n=3
Settled
0/3 (0%)
Last 3 episodes
said in 0 of 2 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Major GarrettotherThe Briefing with Jen Psaki (MS NOW), September 22, 2026 · Sep 22, 2026 · 4:13In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during Fox News Sunday? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press? · settled no

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What will Wes Moore say during Fox News Sunday? · settled no

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What will Wes Moore say during CBS Mornings? · settled no

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What will Wes Moore say during The Weeknight? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during his NAN Fireside Chat? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 2, 2026Ballroom / PoolKalshiNo
Jul 5, 2026Ballroom / PoolKalshiNo
Jul 3, 2026Ballroom / PoolKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Wes Moore say “Ballroom / Pool”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Wes Moore did not say “Ballroom / Pool” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 3, 2026.
What is the probability Wes Moore says “Ballroom / Pool” next time?
33%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Wes Moore: ‘Ballroom / Pool’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/wes-moore/words/ballroom-or-pool (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=ballroom%20%2F%20pool · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=wes-moore&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP