Will Wes Moore say “Afghanistan / Iraq”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Wes Moore said “Afghanistan / Iraq” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 9, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the 2 latest transcripts we have (3 episodes), it reached the market's count 0 times.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Wes Moore
Afghanistan / Iraq
- Probability
- 54% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Latest transcripts
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2026 | Afghanistan / Iraq |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Afghanistan / Iraq | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Wes Moore say “Afghanistan / Iraq”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Wes Moore said “Afghanistan / Iraq” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 9, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 16, 2026.
- What is the probability Wes Moore says “Afghanistan / Iraq” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Wes Moore: ‘Afghanistan / Iraq’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/wes-moore/words/afghanistan-or-iraq (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=afghanistan%20%2F%20iraq · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=wes-moore&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP