Will Wes Moore say “2028 / Campaign”?

As of Oct 23, 2026, Wes Moore said “2028 / Campaign” at 3 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 9, 2026 (30%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the 2 latest transcripts we have (3 episodes), it reached the market's count 1 time.

35%from settlement history only · n=10counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=2028%20%2F%20campaign

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Wes Moore

2028 / Campaign

Probability
35% · n=10
Settled
3/10 (30%)
Latest transcripts
said in 1 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

31 by speakers the rule does not count.

Ramaswamy adother12:02In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Ramaswamy adother12:27In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 20 by speakers the rule does not count.

Wes Mooreguest29:23In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Mike Simpson and other video politiciansother13:22In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

What will Wes Moore say during Fox News Sunday? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Wes Moore say during Fox News Sunday? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Wes Moore say during CBS Mornings? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Wes Moore say during The Weeknight? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Wes Moore say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Wes Moore say during his NAN Fireside Chat? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

Every settled listing

newest first · 10 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiYes–
Sep 22, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiYes1
Sep 13, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiNo0
Aug 2, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiNo–
Jul 5, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiNo–
Jul 3, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiNo–
Jun 16, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiNo–
May 19, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiNo–
May 10, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiNo–
Apr 9, 20262028 / CampaignKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Wes Moore say “2028 / Campaign”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Wes Moore said “2028 / Campaign” at 3 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 9, 2026 (30%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
What is the probability Wes Moore says “2028 / Campaign” next time?
35%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Wes Moore: ‘2028 / Campaign’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/wes-moore/words/2028-or-campaign (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=2028%20%2F%20campaign · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=wes-moore&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP