Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Vaccine”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. did not say “Vaccine” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 23, 2024.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Vaccine
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 2 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
We only released the new vaccines schedule two days ago. The vaccine schedule, there's nothing compulsory in it. Everybody, I've always promised I'm not going…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2024 | Vaccine |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Vaccine”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. did not say “Vaccine” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 23, 2024.
- What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Vaccine” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘Vaccine’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/vaccine (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=vaccine · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP