Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: Press conference, Mar 6, 2026
Kalshi What will RFK say during his press conference?
Markets
15 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Obese / Obesity | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Chronic | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| MAHA / Make America Healthy Again | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Autism / Autistic | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Processed Food | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Color / Coloring / Dye | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| GLP-1 / Ozempic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthy Fat | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Milk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Preventive / Preventative | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Seed Oil | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sugar | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAR06 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP