Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: Speech, Aug 23, 2024
Polymarket What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?
Markets
15 words · 6 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIA | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Debate | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Donald Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| FDA | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kamala Harris | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bear | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Brain Worm | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Climate Change | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Endorse | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Parasite | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Third Party | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vaccine | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Woke | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-rfk-jr-say-during-friday-address · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP