NewsNation: Episode, Feb 3, 2026
Kalshi What will RFK say during his NewsNation interview?
Markets
14 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mental Health | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Autism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fluoride | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| MAHA / Make America Healthy Again | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Milk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pharmaceutical | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pregnant / Pregnancy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| TrumpRX / Trumprx.gov | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tylenol | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vaccine / Vaccination | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXNEWSNATIONMENTION-26FEB03 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP