What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Milk” next time?

38%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Milk”?

Name: Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: “Milk” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 26, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. did not say “Milk” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

38%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
Streak: not said the last 3 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 16:06 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Milk

Probability: 38% · n=3
Settled: 0/3 (0%)
Last 2 transcripts: said in 0 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Brooke RollinsotherPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Jan. 7, 2026 · Jan 7, 2026 · 16:27In transcript

…food supply already available from America's incredible farmers and ranchers. By making milk, raising cattle and growing wholesome fruits, vegetables, and grains, they hold the…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will RFK say during RNC Midterm Convention? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will RFK say during Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will RFK or Dr. Oz say during their Fraud News Conference? · not listed

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What will RFK say during the Dept of HHS Budget hearing? · not listed

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What will RFK say during the Hearing on Health and Human Services? · not listed

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What will RFK say during his announcement on Microplastics? · not listed

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What will RFK say during his CPAC Fireside Chat? · not listed

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What will RFK say during his press conference? · settled no

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What will RFK say on 60 Minutes? · settled no

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Mention: RFK One Year of MAHA · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Mar 6, 2026	Milk	Kalshi	No
Feb 16, 2026	Milk	Kalshi	No
Feb 3, 2026	Milk	Kalshi	No

Questions

How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Milk”?: As of Oct 26, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. did not say “Milk” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026.
What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Milk” next time?: 38%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘Milk’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/milk (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=milk · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP