What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “FDA” next time?

50%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “FDA”?

Name: Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: “FDA” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “FDA” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 23, 2024.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 03:20 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

FDA

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 2 transcripts: said in 2 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.guestSaturday in America (Fox News), August 29, 2026 · Aug 29, 2026 · 40:49In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.otherPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Jan. 7, 2026 · Jan 7, 2026 · 10:23In transcript

…fund and prioritize rigorous nutrition research at the NIH and at the FDA. The stakes are measurable and severe. A Johns Hopkins analysis estimates that…

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Aug 23, 2024	FDA	Polymarket	Yes

Questions

How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “FDA”?: As of Oct 25, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “FDA” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 23, 2024.
What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “FDA” next time?: 50%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘FDA’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/fda (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=fda · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP