Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Debate”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Debate” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 23, 2024.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 press briefing; Jan 7, 2026 – Aug 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Debate
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2024 | Debate |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Robert F. Kennedy Jr. say “Debate”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said “Debate” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 23, 2024.
- What is the probability Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says “Debate” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: ‘Debate’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr/words/debate (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=debate · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=robert-f-kennedy-jr&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP