Will “Agent Orange” be said at the next Political debates?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Agent Orange” was said at the Political debates on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 7, 2026.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- any candidate
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Political debates
Agent Orange
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
Next listing counts: any candidate
We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Agent Orange |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Agent Orange” said at the Political debates?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Agent Orange” was said at the Political debates on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 7, 2026.
- What is the probability “Agent Orange” is said at the Political debates next time?
- 69%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any candidate.
Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘Agent Orange’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/agent-orange (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=agent%20orange · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP