Will Mike Johnson say “Trump”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mike Johnson said “Trump” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 3, 2025 (80%), most recently on Feb 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 69% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
69%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mike Johnson
Trump
- Probability
- 69% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Mike Johnson yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Mike Johnson say “Trump”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Mike Johnson said “Trump” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 3, 2025 (80%), most recently on Feb 1, 2026.
- What is the probability Mike Johnson says “Trump” next time?
- 69%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mike Johnson: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mike-johnson/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mike-johnson&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mike-johnson&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP