Mike Johnson: Speech, Jan 24, 2026
Kalshi What will Mike Johnson say during his remarks at March for Life?
Markets
11 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 65%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Abortion / Aborted | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Family | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mom / Dad / Parent | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Opportunity | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pregnant / Pregnancy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pro Life / Pro Choice | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Roe / Wade | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Conception / Conceived | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Unborn | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXJOHNSONMENTION-26JAN24 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP