Mike Johnson: Press conference, Oct 3, 2025
Kalshi What will Mike Johnson say during the Press Conference?
Markets
15 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| American | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Federal | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Illegal Alien | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Schumer | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Thune | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Deal | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Debt | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Economy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fake News | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nonsense | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Woke | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXJOHNSONMENTION-25OCT03 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP