Will Mike Johnson say “Socialism / Socialist”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Mike Johnson said “Socialism / Socialist” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 15, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Oct 26, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

49%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mike Johnson

Socialism / Socialist

Probability
49% · n=4
Settled
3/4 (75%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Mike Johnson say during The Ingraham Angle? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 10 by speakers the rule does not count.

Mike Johnsonguest19:16In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

unidentified student clipother28:49In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

What will Mike Johnson say during Meet the Press? · settled no

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What will Mike Johnson say during RNC Midterm Convention? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Mike Johnson say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Mike Johnson say during Fox News Sunday? · not listed

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What will Mike Johnson say during his Fox News interview? · not listed

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What will Mike Johnson say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Mike Johnson say during his remarks at March for Life? · not listed

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What will Mike Johnson say during his address to the UK Parliament? · not listed

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What will Mike Johnson say during the Press Conference? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 26, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiYes1
Sep 13, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo–
Sep 10, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiYes–
Aug 15, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Mike Johnson say “Socialism / Socialist”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Mike Johnson said “Socialism / Socialist” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 15, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 26, 2026.
What is the probability Mike Johnson says “Socialism / Socialist” next time?
49%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mike Johnson: ‘Socialism / Socialist’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mike-johnson/words/socialism-or-socialist (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mike-johnson&word=socialism%20%2F%20socialist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mike-johnson&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP