Will Mike Johnson say “Socialism / Socialist”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Mike Johnson said “Socialism / Socialist” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 15, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Oct 26, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceMike Johnson
Socialism / Socialist
- Probability
- 49% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 10 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Socialism / Socialist | Yes | 1 | |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Socialism / Socialist | No | – | |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Socialism / Socialist | Yes | – | |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Socialism / Socialist | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Mike Johnson say “Socialism / Socialist”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Mike Johnson said “Socialism / Socialist” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 15, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Mike Johnson says “Socialism / Socialist” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mike Johnson: ‘Socialism / Socialist’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mike-johnson/words/socialism-or-socialist (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mike-johnson&word=socialism%20%2F%20socialist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mike-johnson&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP