Will Mike Johnson say “Illegal Alien”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mike Johnson said “Illegal Alien” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 3, 2025 (67%), most recently on Mar 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mike Johnson
Illegal Alien
- Probability
- 63% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Mike Johnson yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Illegal Alien |  Kalshi | No |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Illegal Alien | Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Illegal Alien | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Mike Johnson say “Illegal Alien”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Mike Johnson said “Illegal Alien” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 3, 2025 (67%), most recently on Mar 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Mike Johnson says “Illegal Alien” next time?
- 63%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mike Johnson: ‘Illegal Alien’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mike-johnson/words/illegal-alien (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mike-johnson&word=illegal%20alien · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mike-johnson&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP