Will Mike Johnson say “Election / Midterm”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mike Johnson said “Election / Midterm” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 10, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mike Johnson
Election / Midterm
- Probability
- 68% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Mike Johnson yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Election / Midterm |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Election / Midterm | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Mike Johnson say “Election / Midterm”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Mike Johnson said “Election / Midterm” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 10, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 13, 2026.
- What is the probability Mike Johnson says “Election / Midterm” next time?
- 68%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mike Johnson: ‘Election / Midterm’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mike-johnson/words/election-or-midterm (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mike-johnson&word=election%20%2F%20midterm · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mike-johnson&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP