Will Mike Johnson say “Big Beautiful Bill”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mike Johnson said “Big Beautiful Bill” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 2, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mike Johnson
Big Beautiful Bill
- Probability
- 59% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Mike Johnson yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Big Beautiful Bill |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Big Beautiful Bill | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Big Beautiful Bill | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Mike Johnson say “Big Beautiful Bill”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Mike Johnson said “Big Beautiful Bill” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 2, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 13, 2026.
- What is the probability Mike Johnson says “Big Beautiful Bill” next time?
- 59%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mike Johnson: ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mike-johnson/words/big-beautiful-bill (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mike-johnson&word=big%20beautiful%20bill · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mike-johnson&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP