Will Mike Johnson say “NATO / Ally”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mike Johnson said “NATO / Ally” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 21, 2026.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Jan 20, 2026
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mike Johnson
NATO / Ally
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Mike Johnson yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | NATO / Ally |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Mike Johnson say “NATO / Ally”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Mike Johnson said “NATO / Ally” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Mike Johnson says “NATO / Ally” next time?
- 62%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mike Johnson: ‘NATO / Ally’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mike-johnson/words/ally-or-nato (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mike-johnson&word=ally%20%2F%20nato · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mike-johnson&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP