Will Kristi Noem say “Biden”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kristi Noem said “Biden” at 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (67%), most recently on Mar 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 18, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 4/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kristi Noem
Biden
- Probability
- 51% · n=6
- Settled
- 4/6 (67%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…in this situation – we wouldn't be in this situation if Joe Biden hadn't allowed our open-border policies to be in place and allowed up…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Kristi Noem say “Biden”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kristi Noem said “Biden” at 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (67%), most recently on Mar 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Kristi Noem says “Biden” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kristi Noem: ‘Biden’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kristi-noem/words/biden (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kristi-noem&word=biden · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kristi-noem&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP