Kristi Noem: Press conference, Feb 5, 2026
Kalshi What will Kristi Noem say during her press conference?
Markets
12 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crime / Criminal | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fentanyl | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Homan / Bovino | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / National Guard | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Illegal Alien | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mexico | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Traffic / Trafficking | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Body Cam / Body Camera | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| National Security | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rio Grande | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPERSONMENTION-26FEB05 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP