Will James Talarico say “Republican”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, James Talarico said “Republican” at 12 of 13 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 18, 2026 (92%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 77% (n=13, from settlement history), not a forecast.

77%from settlement history only · n=13counts: named speaker only
Last 10
9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=james-talarico&word=republican

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

James Talarico

Republican

Probability
77% · n=13
Settled
12/13 (92%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for James Talarico yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will James Talarico say during The Moment with Katy Tur? · settled yes

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What will James Talarico say during MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes? · settled yes

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What will James Talarico say during The Rachel Maddow Show? · settled yes

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What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · settled no

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What will James Talarico say during the Texas Democratic Convention? · settled yes

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What will James Talarico say during MS NOW: The Weekend? · settled yes

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What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · settled yes

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What will James Talarico say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled yes

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What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · settled yes

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What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 13 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 20, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
Aug 20, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
Aug 3, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
Jul 29, 2026RepublicanKalshiNo
Jun 26, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
Jun 20, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
Jun 18, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
Jun 11, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
May 26, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
Apr 16, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
Mar 12, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
Mar 3, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
Feb 18, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes

Questions

How often does James Talarico say “Republican”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, James Talarico said “Republican” at 12 of 13 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 18, 2026 (92%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
What is the probability James Talarico says “Republican” next time?
77%, from settlement history (n=13). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “James Talarico: ‘Republican’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/james-talarico/words/republican (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=james-talarico&word=republican · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=james-talarico&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP