Will James Talarico say “Iran / Iranian”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, James Talarico said “Iran / Iranian” at 1 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 16, 2026 (11%), most recently on May 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.

24%from settlement history only · n=9counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 7 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=james-talarico&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

James Talarico

Iran / Iranian

Probability
24% · n=9
Settled
1/9 (11%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for James Talarico yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will James Talarico say during The Moment with Katy Tur? · not listed

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What will James Talarico say during MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes? · settled no

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What will James Talarico say during The Rachel Maddow Show? · settled no

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What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · settled no

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What will James Talarico say during the Texas Democratic Convention? · settled no

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What will James Talarico say during MS NOW: The Weekend? · settled no

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What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · settled no

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What will James Talarico say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled no

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What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · settled yes

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What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 9 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 20, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Aug 3, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Jul 29, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Jun 26, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Jun 20, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Jun 18, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Jun 11, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
May 26, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
Apr 16, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo

Questions

How often does James Talarico say “Iran / Iranian”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, James Talarico said “Iran / Iranian” at 1 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 16, 2026 (11%), most recently on May 26, 2026.
What is the probability James Talarico says “Iran / Iranian” next time?
24%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “James Talarico: ‘Iran / Iranian’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/james-talarico/words/iran-or-iranian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=james-talarico&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=james-talarico&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP