Will James Talarico say “ICE”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, James Talarico said “ICE” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 18, 2026 (33%), most recently on Aug 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
47%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 2/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
James Talarico
ICE
- Probability
- 47% · n=6
- Settled
- 2/6 (33%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for James Talarico yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does James Talarico say “ICE”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, James Talarico said “ICE” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 18, 2026 (33%), most recently on Aug 3, 2026.
- What is the probability James Talarico says “ICE” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “James Talarico: ‘ICE’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/james-talarico/words/ice (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=james-talarico&word=ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=james-talarico&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP