Will James Talarico say “First Amendment / Free Speech / Freedom of Speech”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, James Talarico said “First Amendment / Free Speech / Freedom of Speech” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 18, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

James Talarico

First Amendment / Free Speech / Freedom of Speech

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for James Talarico yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will James Talarico say during The Moment with Katy Tur? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will James Talarico say during MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will James Talarico say during The Rachel Maddow Show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will James Talarico say during the Texas Democratic Convention? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will James Talarico say during MS NOW: The Weekend? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will James Talarico say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 18, 2026First Amendment / Free Speech / Freedom of SpeechKalshiYes

Questions

How often does James Talarico say “First Amendment / Free Speech / Freedom of Speech”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, James Talarico said “First Amendment / Free Speech / Freedom of Speech” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 18, 2026.
What is the probability James Talarico says “First Amendment / Free Speech / Freedom of Speech” next time?
52%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “James Talarico: ‘First Amendment / Free Speech / Freedom of Speech’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/james-talarico/words/first-amendment-or-free-speech-or-freedom-of-speech (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=james-talarico&word=first%20amendment%20%2F%20free%20speech%20%2F%20freedom%20of%20speech · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=james-talarico&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP