Will James Talarico say “Election”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, James Talarico said “Election” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 12, 2026 (67%), most recently on Aug 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

43%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

James Talarico

Election

Probability
43% · n=3
Settled
2/3 (67%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for James Talarico yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will James Talarico say during The Moment with Katy Tur? · not listed

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What will James Talarico say during MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes? · settled yes

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What will James Talarico say during The Rachel Maddow Show? · not listed

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What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will James Talarico say during the Texas Democratic Convention? · not listed

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What will James Talarico say during MS NOW: The Weekend? · not listed

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What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will James Talarico say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will James Talarico say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 20, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
Apr 16, 2026ElectionKalshiNo
Mar 12, 2026ElectionKalshiYes

Questions

How often does James Talarico say “Election”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, James Talarico said “Election” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 12, 2026 (67%), most recently on Aug 20, 2026.
What is the probability James Talarico says “Election” next time?
43%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “James Talarico: ‘Election’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/james-talarico/words/election (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=james-talarico&word=election · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=james-talarico&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP