Will James Talarico say “ICE / Border”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, James Talarico did not say “ICE / Border” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
James Talarico
ICE / Border
- Probability
- 34% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for James Talarico yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | ICE / Border |  Kalshi | No |
| Mar 3, 2026 | ICE / Border | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 18, 2026 | ICE / Border | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does James Talarico say “ICE / Border”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, James Talarico did not say “ICE / Border” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 18, 2026.
- What is the probability James Talarico says “ICE / Border” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “James Talarico: ‘ICE / Border’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/james-talarico/words/border-or-ice (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=james-talarico&word=border%20%2F%20ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=james-talarico&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP