Will Hakeem Jeffries say “Immigrant / Immigration”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “Immigrant / Immigration” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 9, 2026 (33%), most recently on Apr 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Feb 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Hakeem Jeffries
Immigrant / Immigration
- Probability
- 53% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…and they need to be reined in, because the American people deserve immigration enforcement that is fair, that is just, and that is humane. And…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Immigrant / Immigration |  Kalshi | No |
| May 19, 2026 | Immigrant / Immigration | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Immigrant / Immigration | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Hakeem Jeffries say “Immigrant / Immigration”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “Immigrant / Immigration” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 9, 2026 (33%), most recently on Apr 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Hakeem Jeffries says “Immigrant / Immigration” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Hakeem Jeffries: ‘Immigrant / Immigration’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/hakeem-jeffries/words/immigrant-or-immigration (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=immigrant%20%2F%20immigration · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP