Will Elizabeth Warren say “Trump” 3+ times?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Elizabeth Warren said “Trump” 3+ times at 6 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 14, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only).

56%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
6/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 6 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Elizabeth Warren

Trump (3+ times)

Probability
56% · n=6
Settled
6/6 (100%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Elizabeth Warren say during All In with Chris Hayes? · said 12 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

12 counted; 38 by speakers the rule does not count.

Elizabeth Warrenguest31:07In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Elizabeth Warrenguest31:43In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Elizabeth Warren say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Elizabeth Warren say during All in with Chris Hayes? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Elizabeth Warren say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · settled yes

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What will Elizabeth Warren say during MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes? · settled yes

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What will Elizabeth Warren say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled yes

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What will Elizabeth Warren say during Kevin Warsh's Confirmation Hearing? · not listed

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What will Elizabeth Warren say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Elizabeth Warren say during The Late Show with Stephen Colbert? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 14, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiYes12
Jun 24, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiYes–
Jun 22, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiYes–
May 19, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiYes–
May 19, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiYes–
Apr 21, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Elizabeth Warren say “Trump (3+ times)”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Elizabeth Warren said “Trump” 3+ times at 6 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 14, 2026.
What is the probability Elizabeth Warren says “Trump (3+ times)” next time?
56%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Elizabeth Warren: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/elizabeth-warren/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=elizabeth-warren&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=elizabeth-warren&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP