Will Elizabeth Warren say “Trump” 3+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Elizabeth Warren said “Trump” 3+ times at 6 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 14, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 6/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 6 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceElizabeth Warren
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- 56% · n=6
- Settled
- 6/6 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
12 counted; 38 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Yes | 12 | |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Yes | – | |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Yes | – | |
| May 19, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Yes | – | |
| May 19, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Yes | – | |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Elizabeth Warren say “Trump (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Elizabeth Warren said “Trump” 3+ times at 6 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Elizabeth Warren says “Trump (3+ times)” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Elizabeth Warren: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/elizabeth-warren/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=elizabeth-warren&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=elizabeth-warren&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP