All In with Chris Hayes: Episode, Jun 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Elizabeth Warren say during All in with Chris Hayes?
Markets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Yes | 76%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 71%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 52%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Home / Housing | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 57%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom / Pool | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Data Center | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare | No | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 45%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXALLINMENTION-26JUN22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP