All In with Chris Hayes: Episode, May 19, 2026
Kalshi What will Elizabeth Warren say during MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes?
Markets
12 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Republican | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billionaire | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXALLINMENTION-26MAY19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP