Elizabeth Warren: Hearing, Apr 21, 2026
Kalshi What will Elizabeth Warren say during Kevin Warsh's Confirmation Hearing?
Markets
11 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Divest / Divested / Divestiture | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ethic / Ethical | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jerome / Powell | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wall Street | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Investigate / Investigated / Investigation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wife | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR21B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP