Will Elizabeth Warren say “Trump”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Elizabeth Warren said “Trump” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 21, 2025 (100%), most recently on Apr 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 14, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Elizabeth Warren
Trump
- Probability
- 61% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Elizabeth Warren say “Trump”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Elizabeth Warren said “Trump” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 21, 2025 (100%), most recently on Apr 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Elizabeth Warren says “Trump” next time?
- 61%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Elizabeth Warren: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/elizabeth-warren/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=elizabeth-warren&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=elizabeth-warren&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP