Will Elizabeth Warren say “Republican”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Elizabeth Warren said “Republican” at 6 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 13, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 14, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 6/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 6 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceElizabeth Warren
Republican
- Probability
- 56% · n=6
- Settled
- 6/6 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | Republican | Yes | |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Republican | Yes | |
| May 19, 2026 | Republican | Yes | |
| May 19, 2026 | Republican | Yes | |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Republican | Yes | |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Republican | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Elizabeth Warren say “Republican”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Elizabeth Warren said “Republican” at 6 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 13, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Elizabeth Warren says “Republican” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Elizabeth Warren: ‘Republican’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/elizabeth-warren/words/republican (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=elizabeth-warren&word=republican · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=elizabeth-warren&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP