Will Elizabeth Warren say “Zohran / Mamdani”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Elizabeth Warren said “Zohran / Mamdani” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 19, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 14, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Elizabeth Warren
Zohran / Mamdani
- Probability
- 56% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani |  Kalshi | Yes |
| May 19, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Elizabeth Warren say “Zohran / Mamdani”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Elizabeth Warren said “Zohran / Mamdani” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 19, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Elizabeth Warren says “Zohran / Mamdani” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Elizabeth Warren: ‘Zohran / Mamdani’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/elizabeth-warren/words/mamdani-or-zohran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=elizabeth-warren&word=mamdani%20%2F%20zohran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=elizabeth-warren&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP